Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd22e5f13af7867b500f240c5887c01b0763f68d91a9b7ecea4191c26f9a53884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 65c | 1,536$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 1,278$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.14 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 1,097$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.82 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 912.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.76 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 799.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 787.76$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.3 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 65c | 640.02$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.01 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 35c | 483.11$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.02 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 78c | 459.71$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 65c | 380$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 364.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 328.43$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 277.14$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 67c | 259.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 59c | 249.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 241.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 226.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 32c | 190.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 64c | 160.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 158.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 38c | 156.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 68c | 114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 112.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Over | 65c | 91.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 63c | 86.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed Over | 47c | 78.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…685ebacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over | 66c | 72.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0bd8backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 35c | 49.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 44c | 39.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 35c | 37.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 33.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 37c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 65c | 27.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 65c | 27.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 18.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: Gangwon FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.