Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1efd6e76bb606330c66da7c6b6fab21c5fcd8912b5abd256fe6100985620b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 49c | 6,175$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 1,082$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.6 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 944.72$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.63 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 802.5$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.2 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 686.28$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.91 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Yes | 33c | 549.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 421.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 391.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 383.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.53 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed No | 53c | 298.68$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 50c | 260.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 48c | 206.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 189.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 181.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 179.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 51c | 174.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 62c | 156.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 49c | 153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 48c | 126.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…aa3fbacked Yes | 35c | 110.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 49c | 98.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 49c | 67.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 53c | 48.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 52c | 34.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Yes | 47c | 31.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed No | 51c | 30.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 54c | 24.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…a2fcbacked Yes | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: FC Seoul O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: Gangwon FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.