Mls · resolved market
St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc80141bbf40e913eea17c3d4da07139d2302cb657d60480ffc3a5729c576c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.36 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 933.95$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.15 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 73c | 357.17$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 36c | 303$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 31c | 247.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 60c | 206.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 41c | 169.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 68c | 157.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 65c | 152.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 122.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 58c | 100.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 83.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 38c | 76.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 73.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 58.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 53.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 45.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 41c | 45.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 49c | 42.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 48c | 37.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 50c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 30.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 65c | 26.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…0409backed Yes | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 65c | 15.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.