Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec01b324ff0ed36cacad719eaa468e508288539aaaf2f6e22c8dd57ea015410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 16c | 3,893$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.57 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 1,407$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 14c | 1,200$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 30c | 1,154$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 64c | 981.12$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.17 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 566.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 61c | 326.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…5f1abacked Under | 35c | 288.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 285.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 42c | 238.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…c482backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 30c | 152.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…2857backed Under | 12c | 150.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 60 | 81.7%49 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 28c | 144$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 140.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…1adcbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 30c | 84.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 30c | 78.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 68c | 72.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 69c | 52.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 48.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 26.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 68c | 23.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 69c | 16.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.