Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ed02ee34fba21ba25d63d5eede0d2ed665332d8f3db610db1be8257682a6fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 55c | 2,622$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.42 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 2,258$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 1,846$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.9 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 62c | 1,601$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 567.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed No | 60c | 486.2$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 463.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 48c | 408.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 68c | 369.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 295.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 187.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 38c | 132.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 38c | 132.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 42c | 125.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 44c | 119.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 95.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 91.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 38c | 87.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 51c | 62.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 58.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 37c | 35.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 37c | 35.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 34.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 33.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…e682backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 64c | 31.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 47c | 30.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked No | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 44c | 28.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 63c | 21.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.