Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41657b7ada31f0cf6c13c330437b7b8e700e05a50bab4f26cfcc214c87311940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,824$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.83 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 54c | 1,700$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.91 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…5f1abacked Under | 27c | 373.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 73c | 228.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 73c | 123$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 47c | 80.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 47c | 77.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 62.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 61.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Over | 56c | 51.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 47c | 38.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 33.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 52c | 29.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.