TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,711$37 inLost-$37.116634.8%23 W · 43 L+13.5wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+156.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under20c1,954$383 inLost-$383.392,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under22c1,191$262 inLost-$262.2122949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon+$2404663%29 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under23c776.56$175 inLost-$174.9212849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c717$140 inLost-$139.695,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under17c549.86$93 inLost-$93.4820138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over80c316.49$253 inWon+$63.9314948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under21c190.48$40 inLost-$401414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Under12c190.08$23 inLost-$22.8150%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over79c158.5$124 inWon+$34.0370842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over78c107.3$84 inWon+$23.472,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c76…673fbacked Over71c100$71 inWon+$29.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Over80c80.99$65 inWon+$16.22770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over78c70$55 inWon+$15.411952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3916…6fd7backed Under30c65.21$20 inLost-$19.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under22c64.96$14 inLost-$14.0123660.2%142 W · 94 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62b0…8ceebacked Under24c59.99$14 inLost-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5503…6294backed Over76c59.99$46 inWon+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1739…9ce3backed Under25c55$14 inLost-$13.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…a404backed Over75c55$41 inWon+$13.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over80c50.01$40 inWon+$107749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85f6…01b4backed Under27c50$14 inLost-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2a…c409backed Over73c50$37 inWon+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb228…2b49backed Under34c48$16 inLost-$16.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…9777backed Over73c45$33 inWon+$12.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0b…b5b4backed Under27c45$12 inLost-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over80c44.66$36 inWon+$8.9337153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over80c44.65$36 inWon+$8.9325155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c05…0270backed Over75c43$32 inWon+$10.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb487…ae8dbacked Under25c43$11 inLost-$10.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5040…ac99backed Over75c42.56$32 inWon+$10.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over67c32$21 inWon+$10.5658243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Over80c26.8$21 inWon+$5.367570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over80c25$20 inWon+$55664.3%36 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over66c22.39$15 inWon+$7.6172044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over73c18.23$13 inWon+$4.9656245.4%255 W · 307 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa321…11e3backed Over72c15.21$11 inWon+$4.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over73c15$11 inWon+$4.057867.9%53 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8403…6866backed Over68c15$10 inWon+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Over77c14.82$11 inWon+$3.412133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bfc…c59abacked Over80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.