TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,185 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ea8…b821backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…92d2backed Under80c1,239$990 inLost-$990.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick77cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7b…6e86backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over19c684.26$129 inWon+$555.442,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over20c500$100 inWon+$4005330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e7…ceedbacked Over22c455.59$100 inWon+$355.591250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under78c320$250 inLost-$249.629432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c318.61$24 inWon+$294.882,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under6c300$17 inLost-$16.7592835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over17c96.34$16 inWon+$79.962748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over19c89.03$16 inWon+$72.5514310.5%15 W · 128 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over19c87.58$17 inWon+$70.947749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under79c85$67 inLost-$67.491,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over18c83.78$15 inWon+$68.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under78c82.59$64 inLost-$64.421,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c67.07$14 inWon+$52.791,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.