TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,889 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over28c8,999$2,520 inLost-$2,519.743933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c7,080$5,009 inWon+$2,070.945,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under72c1,178$843 inWon+$335.1414948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over35c1,100$385 inLost-$384.9728532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over31c899.85$278 inLost-$277.958132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under62c647.5$400 inWon+$247.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over38c416.77$158 inLost-$158.371,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under72c381.72$273 inWon+$108.3419261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under71c341.69$242 inWon+$99.513246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under71c337.46$240 inWon+$97.6437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under71c314.64$224 inWon+$90.8625155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under77c305.12$235 inWon+$70.412,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under72c254.51$182 inWon+$72.4123859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under72c243.08$175 inWon+$68.1524061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under75c186.67$140 inWon+$46.6769352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over41c162.56$67 inLost-$66.658243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under71c141.09$100 inWon+$40.822770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over40c50$20 inLost-$205644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under72c48.8$35 inWon+$13.914055%22 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under72c47.23$34 inWon+$13.467570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under80c41.25$33 inWon+$8.257349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over40c35.41$14 inLost-$14.2874739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1218…511dbacked Over34c35.29$12 inLost-$12825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c23.98$15 inWon+$9.451,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Under71c17.23$12 inWon+$4.941968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.