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Mls · resolved market

Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,464 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No66c3,423$2,261 inLost-$2,261.251,44936.8%533 W · 916 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes39c2,533$983 inWon+$1,549.4714062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No39c1,947$759 inLost-$759.4317740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes61c1,040$634 inWon+$405.4440435.4%143 W · 261 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes61c919$561 inWon+$358.4135650.6%180 W · 176 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c597.51$319 inLost-$319.371,88836.5%690 W · 1,198 L-7.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes29c386.81$110 inWon+$276.4636247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon+$127.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes30c285.07$85 inWon+$200.3617545.1%79 W · 96 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes25c285.07$71 inWon+$213.852739.5%208 W · 319 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes30c208.67$62 inWon+$146.3244650.7%226 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon+$63.932466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No40c160$65 inLost-$64.620533.2%68 W · 137 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c147.13$59 inLost-$58.593,01843.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L-28.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee41…2e5cbacked No74c135.49$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c126.43$77 inWon+$49.3174337.8%281 W · 462 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes25c109.89$28 inWon+$81.971,27145.4%577 W · 694 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes25c96.16$25 inWon+$71.6548545.2%219 W · 266 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No39c77$30 inLost-$30.031,30651.2%669 W · 637 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No39c63.03$25 inLost-$24.5873150.8%371 W · 360 L-3.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes59c60$35 inWon+$24.61,27847.9%612 W · 666 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes60c52.5$32 inWon+$2191753.1%487 W · 430 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes60c50$30 inWon+$2068750.7%348 W · 339 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No55c49$27 inLost-$26.9546156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes61c40$24 inWon+$15.64470.5%31 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.792050%10 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes61c29$18 inWon+$11.313661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No39c27$11 inLost-$10.539944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No61c24.82$15 inLost-$15.1419941.7%83 W · 116 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.