Premier League · resolved market
Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b11da13d9ec87d19667785d14b2316fa4db260ec185a75c53b90efe255dfc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 3,085$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 46c | 1,755$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.3 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 755.73$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 44c | 740.82$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.48 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 59c | 497.84$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.02 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 377.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 244.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 116.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Under | 55c | 81.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…ed48backed Over | 45c | 81.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…ec8ebacked Under | 56c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed Over | 46c | 66.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 44.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 56c | 43.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…5ad2backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 37.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 34.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…f5bdbacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Watford FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.