La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95196840ad74c1e96ec7a51645f48d8b3abd978e8a46824f67b5c76059f497dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 50c | 10,500$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…7462backed Yes | 0c | 7,934$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 6,936$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.63 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 4,404$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.19 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 1,833$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.23 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 683.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 49c | 682.95$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.22 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 48c | 599.97$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 552.07$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.65 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 353.05$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes | 25c | 203.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 19c | 169.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 164.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 71c | 149.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 136.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 48c | 106.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Yes | 28c | 71.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 60.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 55.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…876abacked Yes | 30c | 45.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da8…c0eabacked Yes | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 49c | 28.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…7437backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.