Mls · resolved market
Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb598dba6ab6008658402df9130e0ab49d6c2ccddd101b2b872b4b6980678d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 6,499$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.52 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 42c | 2,500$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.42 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 1,582$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.66 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 1,566$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.02 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 1,516$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.16 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 59c | 1,201$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.18 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 38c | 1,152$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.76 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 1,119$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.04 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 40c | 837.96$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.24 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 613.57$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.84 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 582.86$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 50c | 509.27$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.27 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 39c | 481.02$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 57c | 467.82$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 436$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 57c | 428.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.39 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 358$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 51c | 307.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 38c | 289$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 60c | 275.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 49c | 272.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 41c | 245$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 221.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 56c | 209.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 28c | 197.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 179.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 50c | 170.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 66c | 158.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 44c | 152.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 45c | 129.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 38c | 128$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 28c | 126$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 121.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 50c | 119.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 53c | 82.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 55c | 77.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 59c | 72.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 56c | 72.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed No | 71c | 69.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 53c | 64.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 39c | 45.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 56c | 37.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 44c | 36.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 42c | 32.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -12.3wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Yes | 47c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 54c | 25.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked No | 52c | 19.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 60c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed Yes | 60c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…664fbacked Yes | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)New England Revolution won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: New England Revolution O/U 1.5Under won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: New England Revolution O/U 2.5Under won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: Toronto FC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.