Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ca75861ef0e1b158d0450dce2ecbe58f8e3868827ebc873cccb31decad999f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,185 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 34c | 15,142$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,005.6 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 2,965$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 33c | 2,862$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.71 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 73c | 2,824$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.35 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 1,960$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.65 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 69c | 1,484$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.73 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 1,255$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.22 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 31c | 999.65$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.91 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 72c | 787.94$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 31c | 650$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 73c | 586.69$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 28c | 502.64$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.92 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 11c | 349.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 331.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 31c | 328.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 328.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 290$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 282.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 32c | 278.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 275.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 31c | 179.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 161.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 148$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 127.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 125.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Yes | 31c | 123.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 32c | 123.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 70c | 120.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 72c | 90.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 33c | 89.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 34c | 75.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 36c | 74.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 38c | 72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 71.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 30c | 65.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 65.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 33c | 62.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 58.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Yes | 31c | 56.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 68c | 51.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 46.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 67c | 37.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed No | 64c | 35.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 29.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked No | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked No | 69c | 19.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 80c | 18.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?No won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.