Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb603ac390d9e711d23ff5bf16addc981a206f65871bb12d1d53e1445602172fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,161 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Yes | 29c | 2,494$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,443$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.15 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 1,567$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.86 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,400$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 871.13$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 31c | 571.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 498.19$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 24c | 478.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 400.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 349.94$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 331.93$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 62c | 212.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 33c | 153.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 143.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 101.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 25c | 93.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 66.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 63.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…5bddbacked Yes | 39c | 53.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 46.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 41.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 41.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 67c | 33.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 73c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 74c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.