Mls · resolved market
Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75087cb085e050a33ab6c17da9559087ab9df246587d9b1e4ddd8da62be84ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 38c | 6,613$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.43 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 2,457$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Yes | 63c | 2,100$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 18c | 1,636$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 72c | 791$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 677.68$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 28c | 666$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 60c | 510.79$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 62c | 415.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 61c | 395.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 61c | 332.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 294.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 62c | 205.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 63c | 189.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 40c | 183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 144$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 77c | 63.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 60c | 59.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 62c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 60c | 49.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 39c | 45.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 38c | 38.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 62c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…5329backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 62c | 30.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 61c | 29.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Yes | 60c | 22.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 62c | 21.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: Toronto FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.