TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Under20c5,412$1,088 inLost-$1,087.5717740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under6c3,262$195 inLost-$195.433923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over80c1,608$1,281 inWon+$326.973,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over79c957$756 inWon+$200.976349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under19c733.43$143 inLost-$142.9172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c490.47$387 inWon+$103.1798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over79c417.01$330 inWon+$86.9968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under21c343$72 inLost-$72.0320133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under19c326.38$62 inLost-$62.0170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over79c315.13$249 inWon+$66.1814062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under7c200$14 inLost-$1412839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under19c158.48$30 inLost-$30.3252923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under15c122.09$18 inLost-$17.8682044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Under20c100$20 inLost-$203112.9%4 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-53.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over79c63.29$50 inWon+$13.295676.8%43 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over80c60$48 inWon+$12.181,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over80c54.79$44 inWon+$10.9622841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over79c39.53$31 inWon+$8.37460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over79c38.23$30 inWon+$8.0312356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Over79c37.97$30 inWon+$7.972673.1%19 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over80c36$29 inWon+$7.210257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed Over79c27.85$22 inWon+$5.853174.2%23 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over80c20.96$17 inWon+$4.2714957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over79c19.87$16 inWon+$4.176558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over80c19.14$15 inWon+$3.833844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Over79c13.64$11 inWon+$2.841090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.