Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd506a4301f352a92d96323451adcb9afe50e9048e2bff80144c38566f45925d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Under | 0c | 11,419$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 40c | 3,085$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.79 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 25c | 2,733$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.94 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 1,114$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.4 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 999.96$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 16c | 563.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.27 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 22c | 366.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 22c | 333.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 64c | 292$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 64c | 134.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 89.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 78c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 68.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 75c | 66.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 56.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 64c | 40.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 32.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 75c | 32.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 65c | 30.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 69c | 22.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 70c | 21.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5this page
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.