Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc98a26f79c2b7afeeb9bbcfba9eb80dac73f367b282ee9f6b9e55198733468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Under | 0c | 3,897$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 46c | 2,158$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.72 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 862.39$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 701.75$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.84 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 35c | 699.94$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.96 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 567.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.03 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 59c | 314.83$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 41c | 264.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 113.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 104.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 80c | 63.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 42c | 50.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 80c | 50.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 36.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 58c | 34.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 42c | 25.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.