Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e126a4258e06197f40e3283524efda4af9deaabb8121f2467ac5536f9e8e12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 1c | 3,003$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,456$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.91 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 35c | 1,400$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.54 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 50c | 1,074$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.58 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 1,050$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.49 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 62c | 677.29$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.27 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 608.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 32c | 499.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 53c | 394$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 370.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 50c | 272$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 57c | 171.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 53.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 37c | 47.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 45.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Over | 45c | 27.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 63c | 26.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 71c | 24.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5this page
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5)IF Brommapojkarna won
- Spread: IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.