Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa82a6f983d46ff02c17900617105652dc774f0dc6d8f77877fcb32c19629c35f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 57c | 1,394$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.36 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 871$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.15 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 596.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 62c | 325$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 287.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 147.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 61c | 134$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 131.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 38c | 118$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 61c | 115.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 43c | 87.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5this page
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5Over won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5)IF Brommapojkarna won
- Spread: IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.