Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe404056852a0c4976a73869a708270c69a59e9db78e8c68d48930aaf706600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 50c | 5,639$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.15 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 4,221$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.29 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 62c | 521.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 52c | 302.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 50c | 281.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 68c | 264.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 48c | 210.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 53c | 166.74$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 53c | 158.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 241 | 61.4%148 W · 93 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 72c | 138.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 36c | 134.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 120.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 53c | 116.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…f753backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Yes | 33c | 57.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 47.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 42.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 56c | 40.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 48c | 35.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 56c | 34.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 43c | 31.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.