TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,293 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c746.04$346 inLost-$346.035,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c639.78$345 inWon+$294.31,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c190.89$88 inLost-$87.811,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon+$85.193432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over46c65$30 inLost-$29.91040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under54c62.5$34 inWon+$28.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost-$2512542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under53c37.19$20 inWon+$17.484759.6%28 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c34.13$18 inWon+$15.71,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over47c33.86$16 inLost-$15.9119261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over47c30.98$14 inLost-$14.513246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over46c29.41$14 inLost-$13.538440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over47c21.35$10 inLost-$10.0223761.6%146 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.