Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d335b74a2df3a4dea12d47d8a9405e27ec9e6f1c0b0e41711be0e2a83129c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 31c | 7,065$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.35 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 13c | 4,019$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.42 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,773$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 1,710$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.21 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 10c | 926.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Under | 53c | 819.25$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 14c | 730$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 69c | 625$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 6c | 541.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 26c | 536.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…694fbacked Under | 14c | 519.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 71c | 427.62$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 41c | 402.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…82aabacked Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 72c | 177.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 37c | 168.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 74c | 152.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…cb07backed Over | 70c | 150.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 148.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 68c | 142$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 71c | 140.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 38c | 138.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 29c | 130.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 80c | 121.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 44c | 113.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 13c | 105.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 40c | 103.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 63c | 90.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 56c | 87.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Over | 70c | 70.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…6e86backed Over | 54c | 69.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 72c | 55.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 64c | 54.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 63c | 50.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 37c | 48.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 59c | 39.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 46c | 32.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 71c | 24.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Under | 42c | 23.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 72c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 67c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.