Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a74564b94f1b6239f284ac471568bc95285b634ca38ecf859a4d2b05d6e7dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuhan San Zhen FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Wuhan San Zhen FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 52c | 3,326$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.81 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 3,095$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.27 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 51c | 2,697$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.32 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 53c | 2,121$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.37 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 52c | 1,539$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.9 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 50c | 1,531$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 51c | 1,528$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.58 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 1,484$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 43c | 945.89$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.54 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 59c | 761.66$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.28 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 51c | 751.41$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 48c | 576.64$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.51 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 8c | 399$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 53c | 324.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 50c | 300.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 47c | 299.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 51c | 286.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…61cfbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 48c | 243.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…b705backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 47c | 125.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 47c | 118.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 50c | 108.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 47c | 103.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 97.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 48c | 95.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 95.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 46c | 92.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 54c | 90.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 55c | 83.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 66c | 75.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 53c | 61.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 51c | 54.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 50c | 52.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 50c | 47.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 51c | 46.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 51c | 43.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 49c | 31.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 54c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 53c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 48c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 49c | 21.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…8fc0backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.