Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27eea777be5741c110fe7ab2ec254659b7276a7078a7214c224f00f180e57954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 32c | 9,381$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.94 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed Over | 49c | 6,188$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.97 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 50c | 5,961$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.52 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 48c | 4,897$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.53 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 4,235$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.07 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 2,122$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.31 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 2,122$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.62 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 2,122$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.51 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 1,611$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.87 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,450$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 52c | 842.66$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.48 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 78c | 740.09$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 24c | 678.81$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 80c | 626.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 33c | 525.23$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 47c | 518.04$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 70c | 451.7$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 50c | 443.14$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 52c | 394.39$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 386.82$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 298.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 53c | 257.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 240.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 206.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 67c | 204.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 68c | 196.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 175.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 167.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 52c | 157.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 106.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 99.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 95.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 63c | 77.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 73.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e9acbacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 48c | 56.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 46c | 54.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 52.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 44.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 334 | 54.8%183 W · 151 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 40c | 44.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 59c | 42.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 241 | 61.4%148 W · 93 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 52c | 41.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 54c | 30.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 51c | 29.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…6c45backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 26.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 73c | 24.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 53c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.