Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf227b2d48626b2503ce33d9a8e83d6052d955b9af45d065a9015a86ea2b7b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 4,069$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.41 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,379$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 2,574$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.36 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 30c | 2,313$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.32 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…6e86backed Under | 76c | 1,607$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 30c | 1,579$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 1,385$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.94 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 1,368$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.38 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 24c | 1,272$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.34 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 75c | 841.8$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 754.7$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 70c | 656.72$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.71 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 614.84$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 54c | 612.17$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 69c | 538.35$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 69c | 530.98$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.91 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 48c | 413.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 56c | 370.81$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 25c | 272$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 243.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 74c | 217.42$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 76c | 211.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 77c | 194.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 69c | 165.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 70c | 131.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Under | 41c | 118.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Under | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 84.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 31c | 84.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 35c | 69.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 32c | 53.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 31c | 49.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 45.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…b8b6backed Over | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 68c | 39.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 35c | 33.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 39c | 32.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 68c | 28.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…090fbacked Under | 64c | 23.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 70c | 17.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…694fbacked Under | 75c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.