Asian League · resolved market
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929f28f4d0f91febef4eda26efb2d8e7e39d55452bb43680c318101f312b1fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 4,038$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.41 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 1,541$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.67 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 1,240$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.14 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 547.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 510.85$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 377.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 28c | 373.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 6c | 240.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 215.45$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 202.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 180.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 180.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 78c | 113.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 79.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 18c | 76.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 72c | 50.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Under | 70c | 41.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 73c | 26.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 75c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 73c | 21.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 72c | 17.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 73c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 73c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 72c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 74c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Wuhan San Zhen FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.