Mls · resolved market
Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb454890e7de8885dd5c32fc389ee3dc10fbc70e19d249071f7516129904803e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 70c | 12,697$8,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.65 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 3,722$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.78 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 32c | 3,360$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.64 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 32c | 1,031$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 1,015$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 68c | 891.79$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 725.78$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked No | 4c | 467.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 30c | 353.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 69c | 294$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 33c | 267$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 68c | 214.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 70c | 203.07$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 193$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 186.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 180.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 69c | 172.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 68c | 164.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 30c | 147.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 69c | 147$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 12c | 112.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Yes | 69c | 72.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 31c | 69.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 67c | 65.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked No | 32c | 63.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 34c | 46.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 68c | 41.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 55c | 33.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 53c | 30.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 68c | 22.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 65c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: Atlanta United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.