Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea51569bfec3497e25b8eff63f61113be54784e86451f369966d1b638c5526d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 30c | 371.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 355.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed No | 75c | 340.78$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 65c | 307.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 57c | 301.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 77c | 270.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 40c | 114.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 95.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…8be5backed Yes | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 42c | 62.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 43c | 60.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 61c | 51.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 59c | 34.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2f25backed No | 44c | 23.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 59c | 23.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…f566backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.