Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7214eb5248d31207a7d615c6e08bd36087d11d5cdd65ef5ca10041a4de3654d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,380$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.28 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 33c | 813.88$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 28c | 700$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 34c | 484.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 64c | 260$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 160.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 113.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…6eadbacked Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 64c | 38.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 77c | 37.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…58a9backed Under | 68c | 27.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +399.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 68c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 66c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.