Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffa222eb6815a1c28e8490e9ddfab8b344402fbdeb4a5a980a0a9908677b5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 4,417$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.28 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 1,483$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.96 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Over | 47c | 1,338$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 796.41$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.66 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 768.5$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 46c | 654.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 625.52$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.65 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 20c | 600$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.43 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 21c | 511.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 44c | 496.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Over | 79c | 482.58$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.76 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Over | 68c | 271.79$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 39c | 257.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed Over | 46c | 252.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 59c | 168.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under | 33c | 121.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…6046backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Over | 73c | 98.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 38c | 78.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 72c | 69.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Under | 27c | 69.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 53c | 20.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.