Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8bbaaa5e843a3f30cc13fbcbd071142f15cd7bd651b51502967a5774d32a11b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.96 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 54c | 8,282$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,472.14 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 7,611$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.97 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 6,896$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.83 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 2,717$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.32 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 45c | 2,250$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 54c | 1,305$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 57c | 1,123$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 60c | 561.73$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 57c | 335.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 46c | 326.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 299.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 237.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 44c | 229.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 40c | 229.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 139$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 48c | 133.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 46c | 126.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 49c | 101.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 56c | 86.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 31c | 80.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 43c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 54c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 58c | 51.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 58c | 46.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 46c | 44.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 43c | 39.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 45c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…58a9backed Over | 54c | 34.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Under | 46c | 25.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Under | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 53c | 19.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.