Australian A League · resolved market
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2721b0683ffa08114933cb08faef5708e4dfdd68577fd57819eba947d12428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 77c | 3,883$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 3c | 3,600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +260.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,974$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.44 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,155$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.2 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 24c | 2,129$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 24c | 2,110$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…1168backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 1,936$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.64 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 1,923$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.72 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 25c | 1,569$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…dfc7backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 7c | 888$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 12c | 512.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 467$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…547fbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 27c | 375.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 348.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed Yes | 25c | 335$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 326.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 322.08$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…ba60backed No | 75c | 297.92$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfeb…1b83backed Yes | 9c | 293.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…7ec2backed Yes | 9c | 279.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 9c | 224.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 220.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 77c | 212.64$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 10c | 200.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db2…505ebacked Yes | 7c | 190.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 186.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…c31fbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…8380backed Yes | 26c | 131$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 127.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 27c | 126.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 76c | 113.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed No | 80c | 84.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 25c | 77.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 78c | 63.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 71c | 62.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…dbcabacked No | 72c | 35.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…1ea1backed No | 75c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 72c | 26.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-09?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?Yes won
- Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.