TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Melbourne Renegadesof Melbourne Stars, Melbourne Renegades
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9dea…3792backed Melbourne Stars62c5,352$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2929851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Melbourne Stars48c5,060$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.714348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Melbourne Stars64c4,607$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.331154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Melbourne Renegades38c4,581$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.6633042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Melbourne Stars61c2,600$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.043537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Melbourne Renegades39c2,423$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.0814852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Melbourne Renegades46c2,115$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.567349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Melbourne Renegades37c1,791$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.0267931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Melbourne Renegades38c1,511$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.579154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Melbourne Stars3c1,419$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Melbourne Stars53c1,385$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.6412534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Melbourne Renegades37c1,300$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Melbourne Renegades43c1,284$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.5118257.1%104 W · 78 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Melbourne Renegades53c1,163$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.8122552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54fd…4ac3backed Melbourne Renegades53c1,150$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.661573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Melbourne Renegades55c1,104$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.539849%48 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13dc…c403backed Melbourne Stars33c1,037$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Melbourne Renegades37c977.02$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.0476351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Melbourne Stars62c968$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.162850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd2…fcc4backed Melbourne Renegades64c848.87$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.755437%20 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Melbourne Stars5c713.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.03933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+250.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Melbourne Renegades35c664.97$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9832846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Melbourne Renegades40c527.27$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.744944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Melbourne Renegades40c502.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.252147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…c48dbacked Melbourne Renegades55c501.59$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2829932.4%97 W · 202 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Melbourne Renegades65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.541442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Melbourne Renegades55c433.15$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4827054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Melbourne Renegades37c351.76$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1363646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Melbourne Renegades69c347.06$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8722241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Melbourne Renegades35c337.26$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.989758.8%57 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Melbourne Renegades37c324.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7110149.5%50 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Melbourne Renegades69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Melbourne Stars44c298.24$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.046521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Melbourne Renegades59c289.17$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.673345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189c…c41ebacked Melbourne Renegades48c278.89$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a93…5804backed Melbourne Renegades35c260.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.821421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b12…8a30backed Melbourne Renegades50c250$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a18…ba41backed Melbourne Stars52c227.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.667553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…c7acbacked Melbourne Renegades74c220.41$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.222343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0d…6c62backed Melbourne Stars54c214.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.977554.7%41 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f5…d8aebacked Melbourne Stars32c209.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d09…1167backed Melbourne Renegades39c203.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.035532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Melbourne Renegades56c201.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.692454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa831…b3eebacked Melbourne Stars57c200.04$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.134660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Melbourne Renegades48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Melbourne Renegades56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Melbourne Stars15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+181.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Melbourne Stars64c156.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005058%29 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2f…1209backed Melbourne Stars51c151$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0115437%57 W · 97 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f0…b903backed Melbourne Stars66c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Melbourne Stars68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019956.3%112 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe35c…221fbacked Melbourne Renegades53c147$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.589546.3%44 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ae…3003backed Melbourne Renegades71c140$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.213752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Melbourne Stars61c128$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5115451.3%79 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482e…7a14backed Melbourne Stars63c116.03$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0456…e84cbacked Melbourne Renegades51c113.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Melbourne Stars30c112.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.041116.3%7 W · 104 L-18.9wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6116…1e62backed Melbourne Renegades67c108.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.16955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Melbourne Renegades42c100.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1420342.4%86 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb0…27f8backed Melbourne Renegades43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574537.8%17 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf397…e1dabacked Melbourne Renegades19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4638…489fbacked Melbourne Stars41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed Melbourne Renegades55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4532415.7%51 W · 273 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffb5…92c3backed Melbourne Renegades29c93.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.17139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Melbourne Renegades68c86.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8213151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Melbourne Stars38c85.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.445749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x31a7…df67backed Melbourne Renegades39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.79145.1%41 W · 50 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Melbourne Renegades49c77.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2913241.7%55 W · 77 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1da4…e65cbacked Melbourne Renegades47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375743.9%25 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Melbourne Renegades43c65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3710045%45 W · 55 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999f…1312backed Melbourne Renegades41c63.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.113240.6%13 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Melbourne Renegades37c63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d8…11babacked Melbourne Renegades57c61.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5712634.1%43 W · 83 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Melbourne Stars37c60.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.563698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6315…5a08backed Melbourne Renegades40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Melbourne Renegades38c46.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Melbourne Stars69c44.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed Melbourne Renegades58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3619843.4%86 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fba…b52abacked Melbourne Renegades49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Melbourne Renegades42c40.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4513040.8%53 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Melbourne Stars62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Melbourne Renegades38c38.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5814129.1%41 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…e387backed Melbourne Renegades56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.484544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b0…69cabacked Melbourne Stars39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Melbourne Stars42c29.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.319862.6%124 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…156dbacked Melbourne Stars40c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Melbourne Stars44c25.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8f…29b9backed Melbourne Renegades59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Melbourne Renegades48c25.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.210644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked Melbourne Stars63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Melbourne Stars40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013921.6%30 W · 109 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0184…8a3abacked Melbourne Stars61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d37…5d20backed Melbourne Renegades55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Melbourne Stars63c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.