TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes38c8,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.9512055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c5,709$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.4898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes5c2,531$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No61c2,171$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.4119345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c1,507$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.2646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c1,264$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes40c1,014$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.2513933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes40c897.63$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8130055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No61c845.66$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.132152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed No60c780$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes31c639.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes37c471.48$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.328051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes35c400$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1386746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No77c370.23$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.892479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Yes21c340.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Yes31c264.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes41c158.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes24c140$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.45933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No61c129.82$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes27c128.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed No63c112$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed No64c104.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c102$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7416858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes35c99.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes17c90.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.56126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes41c85.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes34c64.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed No64c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes40c49.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No59c49.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No63c45.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.722770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No72c45.07$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No69c43.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.583250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes39c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No62c38.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.997048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed No65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecac…eadfbacked Yes41c36.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e2…f282backed Yes42c35.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked No65c34.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x431d…4457backed Yes42c34.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f38…c357backed Yes41c34.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ce…04d5backed Yes41c33.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb769…2f74backed Yes41c33.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Yes37c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No61c32.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefb7…2806backed Yes41c32.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f0…770dbacked Yes42c32.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb32a…9ff6backed Yes41c31.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No76c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4411750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x675d…dc38backed Yes41c30.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1e…c8b2backed Yes41c29.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Yes36c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7825…89a0backed No64c28.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Yes37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe96f…1921backed Yes42c27.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fcd…d93ebacked Yes41c27.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd593…4374backed Yes41c26.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8449…81f8backed Yes41c25.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b90…3c8bbacked Yes42c24.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb228…d3c5backed No60c24.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…5d1fbacked Yes41c24.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8762…4681backed No60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x307e…dbdabacked No60c23.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cb…1dc1backed No60c23.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0504…8f32backed No60c23.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b7…40ffbacked No60c23.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4360…1635backed No60c23.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26de…0f76backed No60c23.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb438…b689backed No60c23.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72cf…eec6backed No60c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fba…e0f1backed No59c22.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938d…6fddbacked No60c22.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92ae…73a2backed No60c22.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…3b6abacked No60c22.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d01…4c2ebacked No60c22.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No68c21.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.862161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.811063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb702…790fbacked No60c19.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12e…e4ecbacked No60c18.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+144.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa07…deabbacked No61c18.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8778…6eadbacked No60c18.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263e…2976backed No60c18.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd854…ad82backed No60c18.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5f…45cdbacked No60c18.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcefc…210abacked No60c18.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ae…1a18backed No67c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.86366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked No62c17.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea8…ffedbacked No60c17.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.