Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama FC win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda289f4224e504081629d515860881e3eaffbf9899fdf3480298348312f49144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 33c | 80,000$26,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,597.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 66c | 68,638$44,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,671.18 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 55c | 14,811$8,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,721.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 48c | 9,032$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 8,815$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.97 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 7,026$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.67 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 57c | 4,904$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.79 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 3,784$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,900$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yes | 54c | 1,426$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 50c | 1,060$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 932.2$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.26 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 46c | 930$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 875.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.61 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 18c | 552.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 55c | 484.49$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…a9a8backed Yes | 52c | 483.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 381.04$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…9649backed Yes | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 43c | 189.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Yes | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 145$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 494 | 67.8%335 W · 159 L | +69.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 70c | 133.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139a…34bbbacked No | 19c | 130.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 65c | 124$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 57c | 105.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 94.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked No | 42c | 80.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed No | 43c | 79.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…1c09backed Yes | 74c | 76.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 46.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 23c | 46.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 34.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…8366backed Yes | 73c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…3b1bbacked No | 79c | 16.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama FC win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Yokohama FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.