Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Queens vs. Northern Arizona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62e4cedb7f8ceace21213578d981c6e10b3014a574f63f4df78685e2a0519f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Queensof Queens, Northern Arizona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b7f…ed4dbacked Queens | 53c | 99,081$52,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,568.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bebcbacked Northern Arizona | 47c | 98,995$46,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,527.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Queens | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…8e10backed Northern Arizona | 46c | 4,863$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a13…7fcbbacked Northern Arizona | 46c | 4,779$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…097bbacked Northern Arizona | 46c | 4,766$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…234abacked Queens | 54c | 4,215$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…61acbacked Queens | 54c | 4,125$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…6b49backed Queens | 54c | 4,085$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Northern Arizona | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Queens | 57c | 1,332$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.38 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Northern Arizona | 43c | 1,262$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.47 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f2…3343backed Queens | 54c | 1,256$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked Queens | 59c | 1,144$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Queens | 52c | 810.07$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.83 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…f85abacked Queens | 54c | 725.89$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Northern Arizona | 43c | 705.4$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.14 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Queens | 55c | 457.8$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Northern Arizona | 48c | 402.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Northern Arizona | 46c | 388.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Queens | 60c | 300.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northern Arizona | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Queens | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Northern Arizona | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Queens | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…fa23backed Northern Arizona | 46c | 194.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Northern Arizona | 7c | 179.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Northern Arizona | 48c | 177.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…73cdbacked Northern Arizona | 48c | 169.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Queens | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Queens | 54c | 129.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…5209backed Queens | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Northern Arizona | 41c | 103.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Queens | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Northern Arizona | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Queens | 53c | 93.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…e9eebacked Queens | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ea…448cbacked Northern Arizona | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…a074backed Queens | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…b57ebacked Northern Arizona | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Northern Arizona | 48c | 52.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddf…9710backed Queens | 54c | 49.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…b74cbacked Northern Arizona | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…c1cbbacked Northern Arizona | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Northern Arizona | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…ebbfbacked Northern Arizona | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd47…ca3dbacked Queens | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd5…2a3fbacked Northern Arizona | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Queens | 55c | 36.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…eda3backed Queens | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…d939backed Northern Arizona | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8472…1955backed Queens | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Northern Arizona | 46c | 26.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…3930backed Queens | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…be62backed Northern Arizona | 48c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Queens | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.