MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a5254c0b97ce2a537ff7556474b0b6dc0061fc6db08cc2ff5d496db9e9e29f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Padres, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Padres | 55c | 59,555$32,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,755.33 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 53,155$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,234.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Padres | 42c | 6,960$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.76 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 6,496$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.67 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,886$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.05 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 54c | 4,826$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.79 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,741$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.15 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Padres | 54c | 4,460$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.4 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 3,730$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.17 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked Padres | 25c | 3,495$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 2,745$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.63 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 8c | 2,728$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 35c | 2,700$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 1,974$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.42 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…4604backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,956$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…29babacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,909$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 54c | 1,805$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.54 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,708$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Padres | 41c | 1,609$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 53c | 1,469$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.64 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 1,372$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Padres | 5c | 1,244$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Padres | 9c | 1,100$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.19 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 11c | 1,013$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…7a7abacked Padres | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…5e48backed Padres | 56c | 964$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…c2a5backed Padres | 56c | 946$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…88fdbacked Padres | 56c | 945$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 929.15$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 899.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 898.47$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 897.96$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.2 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Padres | 4c | 722.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 700$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Padres | 54c | 699.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 52c | 641.79$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.79 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 16c | 634.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Diamondbacks | 75c | 606.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Padres | 45c | 603$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Padres | 55c | 600.55$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.3 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 54c | 600$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 526$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Padres | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…fe47backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 40c | 496.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 462.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Padres | 54c | 459.26$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 436.9$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 406.02$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Padres | 54c | 368.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 319.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 303.44$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 302.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…7fcabacked Padres | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…5b8bbacked Padres | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 54c | 293.82$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 273$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 14c | 262.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 262.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 234.94$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 226$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 214.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 53c | 214$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Padres | 28c | 160.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…2b5abacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 159.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Padres | 9c | 149.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 129.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 129$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Padres | 43c | 126.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 125.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 125.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres | 53c | 112.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…c4c1backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 109.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 56c | 101.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 100.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Padres | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.