TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$992,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,007,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $992,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers43c622,023$267,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354,553.2338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics57c464,270$264,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264,634.161,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Rangers44c180,764$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,763.9428646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics57c152,000$86,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,639.9744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics57c67,861$38,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,369.6648254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics55c44,440$24,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,651.9638751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics56c32,037$17,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,939.851,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers50c31,290$15,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,581.11,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics55c18,606$10,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,304.6343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Athletics44c17,570$7,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,758.8554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics56c13,525$7,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,573.231,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers45c12,590$5,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,969.433845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Athletics56c10,456$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,854.0315553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rangers44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics42c9,007$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.4521747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics56c7,883$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,425.52,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712f…b93bbacked Athletics57c7,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9901361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Athletics56c5,829$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.2425453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics40c5,527$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.4954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics45c5,352$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.682,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Rangers62c5,160$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.0833554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics57c3,720$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics30c3,221$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.449,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ea…0fc1backed Rangers64c3,117$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.812661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Rangers68c3,053$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.1915851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics56c2,115$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Athletics54c1,789$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.2915942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Athletics57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8552352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9930151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics56c1,406$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.3673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics25c1,404$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.196,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee5b…0e96backed Rangers42c1,321$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.151741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics43c1,117$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.434,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics58c1,068$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.0126650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Athletics58c1,055$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers43c1,023$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.1150843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers60c1,010$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Athletics23c1,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22557744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed Athletics57c860.43$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-64.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Athletics58c860$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.9225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers42c705.05$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.9316349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers43c697$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.291,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rangers43c694$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers56c662.37$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.121,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x419d…7817backed Rangers57c631$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.052661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics59c604.32$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Athletics56c575$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32211454.4%62 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics55c558$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.963152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Athletics57c534$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3820748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics39c514.06$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers43c510.55$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0151347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Athletics35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Rangers58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2105763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers43c482$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rangers43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics52c437$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.386,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics52c401.81$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.461,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Athletics40c361.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3425364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Athletics60c328$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.88454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Athletics56c323$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Athletics41c301.72$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4760052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Rangers42c299.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17432651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Rangers69c289.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9311257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Rangers44c286.36$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3646631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rangers43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.856440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Rangers48c229.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.446657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rangers44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf4…1744backed Rangers53c211.82$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Athletics38c209.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3433137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Athletics56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11113052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics57c196$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.721,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Athletics57c192.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Athletics61c182.86$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7424444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Rangers58c172.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.523060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Athletics47c172.29$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9514055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe708…e61cbacked Rangers45c166.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.34647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Rangers61c164.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.022445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Rangers39c152.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.876747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Athletics57c146.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8424051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8613…59f0backed Rangers44c137.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Athletics49c134.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.986558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6282…e8f2backed Athletics11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.257427%20 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Athletics60c117.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9310459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics57c110.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Athletics15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.845732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Athletics55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e0…f941backed Rangers43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Rangers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5310255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Rangers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415543.9%68 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.