MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d193a3baa6566effd8dbb247b62b495aba86435e699e6c101fc9236bc3d98b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Royals | 49c | 422,497$208,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,778.54 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 170,635$87,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,023.71 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 105,000$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 83,468$42,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,381.46 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 30,490$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,249.97 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,409$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 26c | 9,322$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 7,501$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 49c | 6,868$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.69 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,012$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Royals | 67c | 4,623$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.86 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 3,794$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.04 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 3,736$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Diamondbacks | 15c | 3,625$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.81 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 20c | 2,904$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,516$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 68c | 2,512$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.7 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 52c | 2,000$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Diamondbacks | 4c | 1,992$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…5c6dbacked Diamondbacks | 4c | 1,745$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 1,734$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.9 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Royals | 49c | 1,529$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.51 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,334$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,215$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Royals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Royals | 49c | 909.73$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 874.72$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.66 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 32c | 850$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks | 20c | 810.84$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Royals | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 49c | 714.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.18 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Diamondbacks | 28c | 599.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 515.46$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.88 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Royals | 49c | 509.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Royals | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Royals | 50c | 478$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 78c | 374.65$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 48c | 299.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 294.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…9743backed Royals | 50c | 290.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.23 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 77c | 283.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 49c | 253$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed Royals | 50c | 241.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 240.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 48c | 235.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 211.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 50c | 201.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b532backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 194.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…a18bbacked Diamondbacks | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 72c | 173.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 49c | 145.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…5c7cbacked Royals | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…24a6backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 124.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Royals | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…da50backed Royals | 49c | 122.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 117.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Royals | 49c | 113.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…7534backed Royals | 49c | 111.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Royals | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 106.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 102.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…6cdbbacked Royals | 49c | 100.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals | 48c | 99.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Royals | 49c | 96.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Royals | 57c | 88.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e3adbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 85.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 76c | 80.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…ae27backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 79.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…9929backed Royals | 49c | 77.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…ba3ebacked Diamondbacks | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 73.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…e5febacked Diamondbacks | 23c | 66.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Royals | 76c | 65.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…aeb6backed Royals | 49c | 64.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 62.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Royals | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 57.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.