MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09df4ba3351483d12aae35a2842b4ca614cc56cc0b83348e3123c97283c35b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof White Sox, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 210,700$138,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,880.98 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 35c | 116,422$40,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,346.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed White Sox | 33c | 51,777$17,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,086.27 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked White Sox | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 33c | 7,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed White Sox | 25c | 6,433$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.46 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 66c | 6,403$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.16 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 33c | 5,899$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.68 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 78c | 4,793$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.6 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 66c | 4,645$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.84 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 3,477$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.04 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 12c | 3,401$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked White Sox | 33c | 3,400$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.96 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked White Sox | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed White Sox | 35c | 1,882$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.81 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked White Sox | 2c | 1,430$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed White Sox | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Blue Jays | 65c | 1,368$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.69 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox | 4c | 1,032$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed White Sox | 6c | 1,026$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed White Sox | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed White Sox | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed White Sox | 36c | 782$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.52 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed White Sox | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox | 2c | 625.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 616.78$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 6c | 510$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 36c | 492.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed White Sox | 7c | 457.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed White Sox | 26c | 453.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked White Sox | 5c | 410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 74c | 405.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Blue Jays | 65c | 397.6$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 33c | 312$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Blue Jays | 68c | 309.11$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Blue Jays | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Blue Jays | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 32c | 268.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed White Sox | 6c | 260$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…213ebacked Blue Jays | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Blue Jays | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed White Sox | 35c | 234.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 226.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Blue Jays | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…de15backed White Sox | 6c | 211.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 21c | 206.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Blue Jays | 68c | 168.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…2669backed White Sox | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed White Sox | 26c | 157.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked White Sox | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked White Sox | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked White Sox | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 72c | 97.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked White Sox | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 65.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed White Sox | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blue Jays | 64c | 57.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked White Sox | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed White Sox | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Blue Jays | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed White Sox | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed White Sox | 37c | 40.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed White Sox | 34c | 37.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Blue Jays | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…5825backed Blue Jays | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0426…c405backed Blue Jays | 66c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.