MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60e9ff5b5b1b26ef212a03f89f9b0b59d35754466b933f8e4aafc2d099fd023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Rangers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Orioles | 55c | 99,873$54,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,202.72 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers | 45c | 15,555$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.75 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 45c | 13,262$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.11 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rangers | 45c | 10,714$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.3 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rangers | 46c | 10,307$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.14 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c6bdbacked Orioles | 56c | 3,470$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rangers | 46c | 3,392$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.5 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.83 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 5c | 3,098$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Rangers | 41c | 3,020$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.67 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers | 2c | 2,282$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers | 0c | 2,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 69c | 2,016$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rangers | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers | 45c | 1,987$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.52 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,682$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers | 1c | 1,461$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Rangers | 47c | 1,379$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.71 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 72c | 1,377$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.54 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Rangers | 45c | 1,323$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.39 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers | 46c | 1,285$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.74 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rangers | 46c | 1,258$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.45 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.74 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rangers | 2c | 1,124$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rangers | 45c | 1,003$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.66 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Rangers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Rangers | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 31c | 809.03$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 53c | 656.1$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.37 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Rangers | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rangers | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rangers | 36c | 582.47$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rangers | 45c | 572.49$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.62 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Orioles | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Rangers | 47c | 542.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Orioles | 54c | 519.2$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rangers | 46c | 505.17$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rangers | 45c | 461.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rangers | 46c | 450.89$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rangers | 46c | 445.41$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Orioles | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Orioles | 55c | 428.87$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 17c | 411$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Orioles | 54c | 368.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Orioles | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Rangers | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Rangers | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers | 42c | 342$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Rangers | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rangers | 17c | 310.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 44c | 301.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rangers | 43c | 300.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rangers | 5c | 299.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Rangers | 46c | 280.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rangers | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Rangers | 46c | 258.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Orioles | 55c | 250.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Rangers | 46c | 247.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Orioles | 55c | 234.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 54c | 234$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Rangers | 46c | 230.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Rangers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rangers | 45c | 221.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Rangers | 17c | 218.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rangers | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…3191backed Rangers | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Rangers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 52c | 211.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…5c68backed Orioles | 55c | 184$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eab…21c6backed Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Orioles | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…3487backed Rangers | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Rangers | 26c | 172.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Rangers | 47c | 162.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Rangers | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…94bebacked Orioles | 54c | 150.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Rangers | 47c | 141.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Rangers | 46c | 139.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb394…fd90backed Rangers | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…441ebacked Orioles | 55c | 132$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rangers | 46c | 131.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…719ebacked Rangers | 39c | 130.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Orioles | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rangers | 47c | 124.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bed…4092backed Rangers | 46c | 123$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.