College Football · resolved market
Coastal Carolina vs. UTSA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db3c6e4e12471512d3cd7634f698e68642bbe540bdf7f241d35038aef50b67c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTSAof Coastal Carolina, UTSA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Coastal Carolina | 16c | 12,255$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.07 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Coastal Carolina | 0c | 12,060$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed UTSA | 80c | 8,822$7,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.42 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Coastal Carolina | 17c | 5,958$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.73 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Coastal Carolina | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Coastal Carolina | 2c | 3,108$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Coastal Carolina | 11c | 3,092$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.09 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Coastal Carolina | 15c | 3,044$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Coastal Carolina | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Coastal Carolina | 1c | 2,738$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Coastal Carolina | 10c | 2,663$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…9f8ebacked Coastal Carolina | 10c | 1,625$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Coastal Carolina | 22c | 1,533$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.33 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Coastal Carolina | 19c | 1,074$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Coastal Carolina | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +743.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Coastal Carolina | 13c | 891.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Coastal Carolina | 15c | 823.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Coastal Carolina | 6c | 790$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Coastal Carolina | 4c | 682.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Coastal Carolina | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Coastal Carolina | 16c | 551.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Coastal Carolina | 16c | 551.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Coastal Carolina | 22c | 427.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Coastal Carolina | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Coastal Carolina | 15c | 289.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Coastal Carolina | 17c | 254.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Coastal Carolina | 22c | 232.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Coastal Carolina | 24c | 220.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…fe13backed Coastal Carolina | 18c | 218.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Coastal Carolina | 18c | 191.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Coastal Carolina | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Coastal Carolina | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…3709backed Coastal Carolina | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Coastal Carolina | 14c | 162.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Coastal Carolina | 16c | 138$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Coastal Carolina | 16c | 138$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…100dbacked Coastal Carolina | 20c | 134.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Coastal Carolina | 16c | 125.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Coastal Carolina | 14c | 111.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Coastal Carolina | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Coastal Carolina | 14c | 101.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a42…feddbacked Coastal Carolina | 17c | 88.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Coastal Carolina | 15c | 79.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…a2e8backed Coastal Carolina | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…dd9ebacked Coastal Carolina | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…e2a7backed UTSA | 79c | 26.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…21bbbacked UTSA | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…821ebacked UTSA | 79c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b9…4396backed UTSA | 79c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.