TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Browns vs. Bengals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bengalsof Browns, Bengals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Browns18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.997042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Browns25c9,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25014349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb09…4e3bbacked Browns19c7,879$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Browns18c7,489$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.969732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Browns20c7,291$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.3932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Browns1c4,500$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6617823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62de…9ea7backed Browns19c4,211$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c70…93c8backed Browns19c3,674$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Browns19c3,595$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.1144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Browns20c3,530$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71321251.9%110 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Browns22c3,410$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9824738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…5124backed Browns18c2,757$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Browns19c2,706$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.139645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Bengals79c2,500$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.983568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Browns25c2,432$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3611738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Bengals75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Browns21c1,881$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5910738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Bengals80c1,739$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Bengals78c1,630$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8927339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns17c1,576$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Browns19c1,538$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2814022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ed…adddbacked Browns19c1,480$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Browns14c1,390$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.888650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Browns1c1,050$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5412842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d52…96f9backed Browns1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bengals79c982.59$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7719543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Browns3c951.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.174311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Browns13c943.51$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ee…68f3backed Bengals80c875$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68a…0e4abacked Browns21c814.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15db…b4f0backed Browns19c778.63$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c91…5a71backed Bengals78c733$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1d…a9aebacked Browns22c733$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Browns19c707.56$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.441618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadd9…f84ebacked Browns21c679.02$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b85abacked Bengals79c679$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…695dbacked Bengals78c643$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520b…d8aebacked Browns22c643$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x620b…920ebacked Bengals79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Browns18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf221…bc81backed Browns21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…6153backed Browns21c568.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…6239backed Bengals79c568$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.28560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2594…ea50backed Browns21c567.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…df99backed Bengals79c567$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0af…a174backed Browns21c566$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…c36bbacked Bengals79c566$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Browns19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a9b…331dbacked Browns19c519.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b8…0461backed Browns22c508$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x251b…d90dbacked Bengals78c508$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bengals76c500.02$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Browns19c499.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9933328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…3e05backed Browns19c477.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c9…e2ddbacked Browns22c468$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fe…9046backed Bengals78c467.98$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70f…9185backed Browns6c462$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-75.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Browns20c444$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.820736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc712…ebbebacked Bengals78c433$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4385…6f1abacked Browns22c433$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Browns5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…b08fbacked Browns5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…0c3fbacked Bengals78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ab…cf8ebacked Browns22c399.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Browns18c396.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.411752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Browns20c370$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6f…64debacked Bengals78c346$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…bb0dbacked Browns22c345.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Browns16c323.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.878921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Bengals77c312.94$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9412760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Browns8c310.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc9…7c59backed Bengals78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412491.7%22 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50dd…f342backed Browns22c249$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2746…edc4backed Bengals78c248.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce10…902bbacked Bengals79c202.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.534665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Browns20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Browns18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3628433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Browns7c179.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Browns24c167$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.084032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e39…5f93backed Bengals79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Browns8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010940.4%44 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…eec7backed Browns19c111$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Bengals77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311673.3%85 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x457c…397cbacked Browns19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c1…a7cbbacked Bengals80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203479.4%27 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Browns19c99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8126331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Bengals79c94.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.943577.1%27 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f1a…8a65backed Browns22c92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Browns18c88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.824054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Bengals79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.954669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Browns19c75.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.954334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Bengals80c72.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Browns24c66.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.915453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked Bengals77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.946058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a1…2662backed Bengals78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.17975.9%60 W · 19 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa895…4935backed Bengals78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.17562.7%47 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc908…5485backed Browns23c50.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Bengals78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117948.1%38 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Browns20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a74…54e2backed Bengals78c45.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.