NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcbddcd21b3bdfff1476826e0c6eb5b771de3a6a336667f503a9fdcacd523544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Nuggets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 906 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Lakers | 72c | 79,619$57,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,208.76 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Nuggets | 50c | 44,264$22,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,108.32 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lakers | 59c | 41,158$24,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,964.21 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Lakers | 55c | 37,521$20,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,709.98 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Lakers | 54c | 27,982$15,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,945.25 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…33a1backed Lakers | 49c | 21,202$10,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,715.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Nuggets | 57c | 20,603$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700.37 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nuggets | 41c | 19,859$8,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,052.53 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Lakers | 62c | 19,740$12,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,526.11 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 49c | 16,763$8,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,146.16 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nuggets | 47c | 14,845$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020.45 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Lakers | 67c | 14,499$9,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.42 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nuggets | 33c | 14,047$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.74 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Nuggets | 37c | 13,284$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.15 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Nuggets | 1c | 12,312$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nuggets | 16c | 11,366$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.41 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lakers | 77c | 11,042$8,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.56 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…9183backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,884$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…52e3backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,327$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nuggets | 20c | 10,228$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers | 65c | 10,174$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.08 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 1c | 9,989$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lakers | 63c | 9,150$5,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.31 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers | 72c | 8,992$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.34 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 65c | 8,384$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,415$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers | 63c | 7,365$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.12 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Nuggets | 12c | 7,105$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.36 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Nuggets | 37c | 6,351$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Nuggets | 1c | 6,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers | 58c | 5,406$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.87 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…239abacked Lakers | 49c | 5,304$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 0c | 5,133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers | 66c | 4,846$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.09 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nuggets | 37c | 4,762$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.52 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 46c | 4,425$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.59 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 48c | 4,050$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.74 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Nuggets | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Lakers | 53c | 4,000$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.65 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lakers | 47c | 3,979$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.36 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Lakers | 43c | 3,934$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nuggets | 19c | 3,741$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nuggets | 0c | 3,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Lakers | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 17c | 3,460$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Nuggets | 40c | 3,443$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.41 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Nuggets | 9c | 3,377$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f44…1ef2backed Lakers | 44c | 3,111$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 68c | 3,088$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.67 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…7355backed Lakers | 44c | 3,043$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Nuggets | 37c | 2,910$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.72 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Lakers | 64c | 2,810$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.6 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 65c | 2,647$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.56 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…c211backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,552$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…c7bebacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,498$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 46c | 2,078$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.58 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc6…bef1backed Lakers | 57c | 2,000$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nuggets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Nuggets | 21c | 1,999$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.97 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 26c | 1,952$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.05 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Nuggets | 3c | 1,922$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,744$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.01 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Lakers | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lakers | 64c | 1,480$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.8 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lakers | 47c | 1,412$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,340$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.97 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,338$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lakers | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 52c | 1,169$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.78 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Lakers | 45c | 1,159$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.48 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Nuggets | 3c | 1,125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Nuggets | 2c | 1,105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…6738backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,103$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Lakers | 62c | 1,020$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.44 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Lakers | 76c | 1,012$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Lakers | 65c | 1,011$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Lakers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…35adbacked Nuggets | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Nuggets | 2c | 959.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Nuggets | 39c | 891.45$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.23 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 861.73$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.05 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Nuggets | 53c | 832.08$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Lakers | 45c | 826.25$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.44 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Nuggets | 4c | 805.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 784$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nuggets | 38c | 708.11$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 58c | 700$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Nuggets | 36c | 698.32$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.