MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71b613d7745c32ac44d8857e402259643346f2dc74abd51816fc1ddaab5858e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Guardians, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa524…c4dabacked Guardians | 54c | 5,660$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 22c | 4,502$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 17c | 4,052$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.26 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Athletics | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.89 | 497 | 50.1%249 W · 248 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 51c | 2,167$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.51 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 65c | 2,156$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.84 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Guardians | 49c | 2,057$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.93 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 72c | 1,870$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.76 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,771$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.15 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 48c | 1,746$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.06 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,712$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.46 | 1,926 | 53.4%1,029 W · 897 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 71c | 1,495$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.2 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Athletics | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.44 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 19c | 1,042$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Athletics | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 53c | 992$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.76 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Guardians | 41c | 833.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.17 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 51c | 828.65$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.61 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 47c | 813.95$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.4 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 53c | 749.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Guardians | 36c | 653.18$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.61 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 2c | 613.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Guardians | 28c | 612.42$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 12c | 600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Athletics | 48c | 516.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.74 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3,320 | 46.2%1,535 W · 1,785 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Guardians | 9c | 498.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Guardians | 52c | 458.94$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 47c | 333$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Guardians | 53c | 317.73$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Guardians | 53c | 300.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Guardians | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Athletics | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Guardians | 51c | 289.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Athletics | 50c | 289$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Athletics | 76c | 283.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Athletics | 48c | 280$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Athletics | 47c | 273.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 52c | 264.08$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Guardians | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Guardians | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Athletics | 47c | 127.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Guardians | 53c | 124.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Guardians | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…3c46backed Athletics | 49c | 110.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Athletics | 50c | 106.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Guardians | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Guardians | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 46c | 99.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Guardians | 54c | 92.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Athletics | 47c | 89.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 2,064 | 53.8%1,110 W · 954 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 68c | 58.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Guardians | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…934ebacked Guardians | 53c | 56.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 47c | 52.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 50c | 50.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Guardians | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Athletics | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 52c | 40.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Guardians | 53c | 39.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Guardians | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 45c | 35.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…c5e1backed Athletics | 48c | 35.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ea…a163backed Athletics | 49c | 33.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…7530backed Guardians | 53c | 32.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…1eafbacked Guardians | 53c | 31.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207c…a58fbacked Guardians | 53c | 31.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…fc1dbacked Guardians | 53c | 30.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…dda3backed Guardians | 52c | 28.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…54dabacked Guardians | 53c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…0419backed Athletics | 48c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Athletics | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eec…7d49backed Guardians | 53c | 25.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…7245backed Guardians | 53c | 25.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Guardians | 55c | 25.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…5ed1backed Athletics | 49c | 25.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Athletics | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Guardians | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…6623backed Athletics | 49c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…354dbacked Athletics | 49c | 24.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Athletics | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Athletics | 78c | 24.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…d399backed Guardians | 53c | 23.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…1053backed Guardians | 52c | 23.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…0005backed Guardians | 53c | 22.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…63c6backed Guardians | 53c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Athletics | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…76dcbacked Guardians | 53c | 21.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…f876backed Guardians | 53c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef4…e8f1backed Guardians | 53c | 19.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…2d09backed Guardians | 54c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.