Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State vs. UCLA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e5572d39b960df8533176db22054b35ac4c4a1f73a6b1fc60e443c31f54c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLAof Utah State, UCLA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked UCLA | 74c | 11,799$8,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.52 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Utah State | 26c | 9,364$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.54 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Utah State | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Utah State | 13c | 4,102$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed UCLA | 69c | 3,768$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah State | 32c | 3,200$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Utah State | 31c | 1,579$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.91 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed UCLA | 68c | 1,469$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.87 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Utah State | 27c | 1,199$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.17 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UCLA | 67c | 1,025$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.93 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah State | 2c | 995$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Utah State | 2c | 810$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UCLA | 78c | 752.26$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah State | 33c | 666$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.78 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Utah State | 2c | 647$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Utah State | 31c | 530.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…35cfbacked Utah State | 25c | 401$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed UCLA | 69c | 362.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Utah State | 33c | 323.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked UCLA | 67c | 319.7$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Utah State | 31c | 317.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Utah State | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Utah State | 18c | 303.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Utah State | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed UCLA | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Utah State | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Utah State | 9c | 173.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Utah State | 24c | 151.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…0565backed Utah State | 27c | 150.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed UCLA | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed UCLA | 75c | 114.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Utah State | 23c | 103.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UCLA | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…8537backed Utah State | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked UCLA | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked UCLA | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed UCLA | 67c | 97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…f038backed Utah State | 22c | 91.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UCLA | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed UCLA | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked UCLA | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed UCLA | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Utah State | 31c | 70.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed UCLA | 69c | 65.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Utah State | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Utah State | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Utah State | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Utah State | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed UCLA | 69c | 39.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed UCLA | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Utah State | 33c | 33.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed Utah State | 32c | 31.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…5204backed UCLA | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed UCLA | 67c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.