MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a296c24ee776bceb7ae562979b98308bc16518b271acdb9b7c778ff65878f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 35c | 7,829$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Braves | 67c | 4,415$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.12 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 38c | 4,221$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.96 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 66c | 4,023$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 22c | 3,693$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 27c | 3,497$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.41 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Braves | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Marlins | 1c | 2,422$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Braves | 60c | 2,168$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.6 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.93 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…9d2fbacked Marlins | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 40c | 1,625$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 1c | 1,577$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 31c | 1,281$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,069$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.71 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Marlins | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d547backed Braves | 59c | 860$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Braves | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 68c | 833.12$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.51 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Braves | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Marlins | 5c | 561$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Marlins | 41c | 520.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Braves | 60c | 515.4$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.48 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 60c | 461.71$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Marlins | 41c | 419$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Braves | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Braves | 59c | 339.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 40c | 311.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Marlins | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Braves | 60c | 267.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 58c | 228$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 9c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Braves | 59c | 207$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Marlins | 9c | 183.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Marlins | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Braves | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 70c | 144.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Marlins | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Marlins | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Braves | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 23c | 81.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Braves | 59c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Marlins | 30c | 67.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Braves | 60c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 66c | 53.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Braves | 57c | 46.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb584…4432backed Marlins | 32c | 40.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Braves | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Braves | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Marlins | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Braves | 59c | 36.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Braves | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Braves | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Braves | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Braves | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Braves | 63c | 30.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Braves | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…ee68backed Braves | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 59c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Braves | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Braves | 58c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.