MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a75acea7f194bdac33cabfc7dc28ecfa270c8ce8e157644766e4fa5b3cc3820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Phillies, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Phillies | 48c | 206,027$99,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,870.03 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pirates | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,200 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 52c | 45,000$23,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,660 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pirates | 52c | 31,902$16,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,312.87 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pirates | 52c | 26,710$13,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,846.9 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 49c | 20,104$9,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,851.14 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 51c | 14,057$7,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,887.86 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 52c | 11,385$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d0d0backed Phillies | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3261…da8cbacked Pirates | 51c | 9,996$5,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 51c | 6,535$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 51c | 5,625$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 49c | 4,071$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pirates | 68c | 3,710$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.69 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 1c | 3,553$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Phillies | 50c | 3,061$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.13 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Phillies | 48c | 1,992$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 50c | 1,593$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.21 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 42c | 1,460$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.05 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 52c | 1,406$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Phillies | 46c | 1,300$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.56 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 16c | 965.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Pirates | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 50c | 900.44$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.23 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 66c | 879.4$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.78 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Phillies | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pirates | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 57c | 701.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 31c | 638.84$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.19 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 44c | 570.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Pirates | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Phillies | 48c | 551.44$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 48c | 515.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Phillies | 47c | 473.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Pirates | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 47c | 469.47$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Pirates | 53c | 464.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 59c | 448.75$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Phillies | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 28c | 411$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Phillies | 49c | 383.33$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 48c | 353$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Pirates | 59c | 338.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Pirates | 69c | 338$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Phillies | 49c | 337.61$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates | 53c | 332$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…c33bbacked Phillies | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…f0edbacked Pirates | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 52c | 286$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 48c | 264.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 49c | 261.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Phillies | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 20c | 224.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 54c | 224.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Pirates | 53c | 210.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 48c | 201.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 51c | 195.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Pirates | 52c | 191.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Pirates | 50c | 191.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pirates | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Pirates | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pirates | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Phillies | 48c | 165.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Phillies | 25c | 153.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…711ebacked Pirates | 54c | 146.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Phillies | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Phillies | 13c | 114.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Pirates | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pirates | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pirates | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Phillies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Pirates | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates | 65c | 92.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…c494backed Phillies | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…05eabacked Pirates | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Pirates | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Phillies | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Pirates | 54c | 87.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.